I overestimated Arkansas. Not that I underjudged Jacksonville State, a team I consider to be one to the Top-5 in FCS. But the Arkansas team I evaluated pre-season would’ve put on a show and coasted in the second half, winning by 20+ points. The Razorback team I watched beat the Gamecocks in OT has been hit hard by injuries and is nearly constantly distracted by their coach, Bret Bielema. He needs to quit mouthing off and pay attention to his own team issues. Let his wife, Jen, use social media and other venues to chime in. That’s worked so well for them in the past.
I overestimated Wyoming. I had them winning 3 games this year. However, after their loss to FCS foe North Dakota (the one without any mascot) and one of my bottom picks Eastern Michigan, it’s hard to look at the Cowboys remaining schedule and find much hope for a win. They’ve gotta be circling their Nov 28th date with UNLV as a must-win game, because that’s the closest chance I’m seeing for now.
I underestimated Connecticut. I thought they might not win a game, and the Huskies go 2-0. I’m certainly not ready to pencil them into the Championship playoffs. In fact, they may lose out from here. Still, UConn is 2 wins better than I gave them credit for.
I also underestimated Eastern Michigan. I didn’t give them any chance of winning any games all year long, and they go out and blow out Wyoming in the second game after a narrow loss to Old Dominion in their first contest. The way the Eagles are going, they have a decent chance to beat Army on Sept 26 and Miami (O) on Nov 7. That would mean 3 wins, which is 1 more than any of the last 3 seasons.
Something I got right…
The loser of the Georgia State-New Mexico State game might not win at all this season. I thought it would be Georgia State dropping that game, but they beat NMSU. Now, the onus is on the Aggies to get the goose-egg out of the win column.
Other items I’ve noticed…
Minnesota is a sneaky-good team. Their defense stands strong, holding TCU and a viable Colorado State team to 23 and 20 points respectively. The Gophers aren’t going to blow away many teams, but they will be in each and every contest and I think stand a good chance to represent the west in the Big-10 title game.
Duke beat North Carolina Central 55-0. This is the same NC Central team that beat St Augustine’s (a Division 2 school) the previous week, 72-0. Would Duke beat St. Augustine’s 127-0?
Of the 5 teams putting up the best defensive stats, one might’ve expected to see Mississippi. The other four – California, Illinois, Syracuse and Boston College – have come out of nowhere. Well, that and a pretty easy schedule so far. See why it’s so easy to get too distracted after just a couple weeks? Let’s see which teams are there after 5 weeks.
Things I predict…
Akron’s offense, which has scored a total of 10 points in their first 2 games, should explode this week. No, the coach hasn’t found a secret offensive weapon. Their schedule delivers Savannah State to the Zips’ doorstep this week. Colorado State put up 65 on Savannah State in Week 1. Akron should be good for around 45.
Arizona scored 42 points the first week and 44 the second. 46 (or more) points will come this week as they host Northern Arizona.
Vanderbilt’s offense gets to celebrate early and often this week against Austin Peay. That’s a good thing, because I see them averaging just under 10 points a game from Week 4 onward.
Boston College has given up 3 points in 2 games (against FCS opponents). Their defense gets their eyes opened as they host Florida State. The Seminoles roll for at least 30.
Connecticut, which has scored 42 points in their first 2 games, won’t cover that in their next 5. At Missouri, Navy, at BYU, at UCF and hosting South Florida, the Huskies will be hard pressed to average more than a TD per game.
Georgia gave up 14 points to Louisiana-Monroe and another 14 to Vanderbilt. It’s likely they’ll do the same hosting the South Carolina Gamecocks.
Georgia State has given up 55 points in their first 2 games. Oregon scores more against them in one game this weekend.
Washington State gets a 2-game winning streak rolling with a big win this week over Wyoming. Wazzu rolls up over 600 yards in offense and scores at least 7 TDs while the Cowboy D sits idly by.
One thing I wanted to remind you about…
D1FFL.com is 2 weeks into the season, but it’s not too late to join a public league or start a private one and invite your friends. Leagues can start any week and play through the rest of the season. Why not give it a go? It’s totally free to play. Sign up, start up and get your teams. We could be seeing YOUR name on the Top-50 list.